107.9FM NYJ/LA

Translate This Page

To recession or not to recession?

Posted by Boog Large on Wednesday, October 9, 2019 Under: 848FINACE

"What do ya think of the econ data, Stu?"

Hey Snackers,

WeWork's ex-CEO Adam Neumann is reportedly selling off some of his homes to pay off a giant loan now that the unicorn canceled its IPO. Yes, that includes the $21M Bay Area pad with a guitar-shaped room.

Markets were focused on the big September jobs report — Here's America's labor report card in 1 chart (and more below).

Want to start getting Snacks daily? Or prefer to unsubscribe? Manage your subscription preferences here. 

Econ

So is the economy headed toward a recession?

Today's data says "hell no" — Tomorrow's says "maybe"

It's like the weather... When the economy is expanding, it's sunny out for businesses as you spend more money and companies grow profits more easily. The US economy's been sunny since June 2009 — a 10+ year streak of econ growth with no recession (a recession = 2 consecutive quarters of economic shrinkage). After a bunch of data came out last week, we'll just ask it: Is the economy heading toward a recession? 

Our Magic 8 ball is "leading indicators"... A couple of them arrived last week in the form of 2 econ reports — they revealed that your boss probably isn't feeling great about where the US economy is heading:

  • Factory Folks: A survey of over 300 managers at manufacturingcompanies showed the worst sentiment since 2009. For 2 straight months, more factory managers are planning to shrink their business than grow them.
  • Everyone Else: The same survey, but for non-manufacturers (picture restaurants, law firms, and the rest of the 80% of our economy not happening in factories) hit its worst point since 2016, but is still in "growth" mode. 
THE TAKEAWAY 

If you look at the economy now, things look incredible... "Currentindicators" like the monthly employment report must have joined Crossfit: The economy added 136K new jobs in September and the unemployment rate hit a 50-year low at 3.5%. If you want to celebrate a booming economy and near-record-high stocks, do it now — business managers worry the Trade War could crash the growth party.

Highs

Who's up...

The Uber for able-bodied humans... Now a thing. Uber unveiled its 4th major app: Uber Works. Launching first in Chicago, it's pure gig economy, connectingbusinesses with temp workers — like when you're desperate for a bartender or need two more hands on an assembly line. Gig-ifying the staffing industry faces competition from freelance apps and temp agencies. But Uber needs a profit puppy, badly, as it loses billions of bucks per year.

New product, who dis?... Microsoft pulled its best Steve Jobs by revealingan entirely new product category by surprise (just don't call it a phone). The Android-powered Surface Duo is hybrid laptop/tablet/phone and arrives next year, featuring 2 smartphones connected in the middle. We're calling it "The Phonebook," and it shows Microsoft's got its swagger back since shutting down Windows phone in 2017.

Lows

...who's down

Get these guys some CBD gummies... Constellation Brands already owns top-shelf labels locked up in your parents' liquor cabinet. But with beer sales slowing, it just announced a new spiked seltzer to catch the summer spritz wave. Alcohol-infused seltzer sales tripled from last year, led by White Claw and Truly, so Constellation's now got "Corona Hard Seltzer" in 4 Spring Break-worthy flavors. Constellation stock still dropped because its $4B cannabis investment in Canopy Growth fell by $1.3B the last 3 months. 

Zero is the new black... Discount broker Charles Schwab will stop charging $4.95 on stock, options, and ETF trades starting today, offering them commission-free instead. Within 48 hours of that announcement, rivals E-Trade and TD Ameritrade matched that ("me three"). The trio's stocks fell since those trading fees will be sadly missed by shareholders (but not by customers). It's the end of a 40+ year decline in commissions from $49/trade then to $0 today. Competition from zero-commission apps like Robinhood accelerated that mega-trend.

Full disclosure: Robinhood Snacks... is owned by Robinhood.

What else we're Snackin' 
  • Work: 8 lists you need when starting a job search (update #3 weekly)
  • Life: 8 ways to make Mondays better — we go with "No-Meeting-Mondays"
  • Money: The salary you need to save 15% of your income and retire with a cool $1M
  • Venture: The myth of the sleepless founder — entrepreneurs who sleep more spot good ideas better
  • Crypto: Why PayPal just became the 1st of 28 companies supporting Facebook's Libra cryptocurrency to drop out of the ZuckBucks founding club
  • Focused: 23 entries to the 2020 World Photography Awards
The Snacks Daily Podcast 
  • Target adds Disney stores within its own Target stores to give you another reason to get in the car instead of shop from your Chrome browser
  • Wedding registry startup Zola is launching a honeymoon booking feature to try to reach unicorn status
  • HP stock dropped 10% last week — even though printers are the new fax machines, we talk about how its profits could grow

In : 848FINACE 


Tags: to recession or not to recession microsoft uber constellation brands canopy growth td ameritrade charles schwab constellation brands 

Panerai Luminor "Blackseal" PAM76 Titanium Black & Silver dial 44mm Automatic wa

PANERAI WATCH
LUMINOR / Ref. PAM76
44mm, Titanium
W525050
Panerai Luminor "Blackseal" PAM76 Titanium Black & Silver dial 44mm Automatic watch
TRY IT ON
G&S Price: $22,000

SALE PRICE

$16,900 


    HOT 103.1 FM HOUSTON

    Fashion director finds. Everything our fashion office is obsessed with right now.

    Shop Janelles's finds


     
     
    E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley 
    View in browser   |   Log on
     
     
     
    Make the most of your cash in 2025
     
    Boost your earning power with a high-yield savings and bank certificate of deposit (CD) account.
    BANKING
     
    You’re already building your portfolio with E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley. Now, unlock more of your financial potential and open a high-yield bank account from Morgan Stanley Private Bank, Member FDIC, on etrade.com.
    Bank smarter with some of today’s best rates
    Bank CD accounts
    Bank CD accounts
     
    Plus, even more reasons to bank with us
    Award Icon
    Award-winning banking*
    Our accolades speak for themselves
     
     
    Check Icon
    Easy money management
    With E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley’s best-in-class digital experience6
     
     
     
    Lock Icon
    FDIC
    protected

    Up to applicable limits. Certain conditions must be satisfied.7
     
     
     
    Learn how to manage cash strategically
    Not sure which account is right for you? Learn how to use cash as an asset class to balance your short-tern needs with your long-term goals. Read article
     
     
    Facebook twitter Youtube
    Privacy Pledge  |  Security Center  |  FAQs
     
     
     
     
    *February 3, 2025. Buy Side from Wall Street Journal. Reprinted with permission by Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

    1. As of 2/21/2025, the Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of the Premium Savings Account offered by Morgan Stanley Private Bank, National Association is 4.00%. Your interest rate and APY may change at any time and fees may reduce earnings. Please visit etrade.com/ratesheet for information regarding this account's current interest rate and corresponding APY.

    2. Based on comparison to the National Deposits Savings Average Annual Percentage Yield (APY) as published on the FDIC Weekly National Rates and Rate Caps Weekly Update, as of January 21, 2025.

    3. Certificate of Deposit (CD) interest rates are fixed from the start of the term until their maturity date.

    CD offerings can change on a daily basis. The interest rate on the Settlement Date can be higher or lower than the interest rate that was available at the time of account opening. If your Settlement Date is within 10 calendar days of the account opening, the applied interest rate will be the highest of the prevailing interest rate on the date of account opening or the date of Settlement. Maturity is determined based on the Settlement Date and the term selected. The APY is based on no withdrawal of credited interest and no redemption prior to the stated maturity date. A withdrawal will reduce earnings. See the CD Rate Table page at etrade.com for information on term lengths, current interest rates and corresponding APYs.

    Interest is compounded daily. Interest will compound from the Settlement Date until the last full day before the date of withdrawal using the daily balance method. Accrued interest posts to your account on a quarterly basis, unless you select at account opening to receive interest via check.

    4. As of 2/21/2025, the Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of the Certificates of Deposit is up to 4.25%. Your interest rate and APY may change at any time until funding is settled, and penalties may reduce earnings. The APY is based on no withdrawal of credited interest and no redemption prior to the stated maturity date. Please visit etrade.com/ratesheet for information regarding the current interest rate, corresponding APY, and account terms.

    5. Bank CD accounts must be opened and funded to lock in a fixed rate.

    6. For the StockBrokers.com 2024 Annual Awards, all 17 U.S. equity brokers reviewed were assessed on over 200 different variables across eight areas: Commissions & Fees, Investment Options, Platforms & Tools, Research, Mobile Trading, Education, Ease of Use, and Overall. E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley was awarded the #1 Investor App, and #1 Web Trading Platform. In addition, E*TRADE received fifteen Best in Class distinctions: Overall Rating, Commissions & Fees, Research, Platforms & Tools, Investment Options, Mobile Trading Apps, Education, Bank Brokerage, Beginners, Futures Trading, IRA Accounts, Options Trading, Penny Stock Trading, High net Worth Investors, and Ease of Use. E*TRADE's star ratings for all category rankings out of 5: Overall (5.0 stars), Customer Service (4.0 stars), Commissions & Fees (4.5 stars), Research (5.0 stars), Platforms & Tools (4.5 stars), Mobile Trading Apps (5.0 stars), Investment Options (4.5 stars), Education (5.0 stars), Ease of Use (5.0 stars), Customer Service (4.0). Read the 2024 Online Broker Review.

    7. The Premium Savings Account gives Morgan Stanley Private Bank, National Association, Member FDIC the ability to send any amount held on deposit in your Premium Savings Account to other depository accounts at Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) member banks with the purpose of affording you additional FDIC insurance coverage. The Program is designed to offer up to $500,000 in FDIC coverage to individual accounts (up to $1 million for joint accounts). Certain conditions must be met. Learn more.

    Deposits held in Certificate of Deposit accounts are FDIC insured up to $250,000. Learn more.

    No minimum initial deposit is required to open a Premium Savings Account and Certificate of Deposit Account. However, account must be funded within 30 days to remain open.

    This is a promotional email from Morgan Stanley Private Bank, National Association. Click here to unsubscribe.

    Morgan Stanley Private Bank, P.O. Box 484, Jersey City, NJ 07303-0484

    Please see our Privacy Pledge for details about how Morgan Stanley handles personal information.

    Banking products and services are provided by Morgan Stanley Private Bank, National Association, Member FDIC.

    © 2025 E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley. All rights reserved. E*TRADE Copyright Policy







    Invest, spend, and earn 2.05% APY*–all through your brokerage account.
    Our goal at Robinhood is to democratize finance. This means delivering products that help you do more with your money and improve your life. Today, we're excited to introduce Cash Management, a new feature to give you more flexibility with your brokerage account.
    JOIN THE WAITLIST
    Flexible Spending
    Use your Robinhood debit card anywhere Mastercard® is accepted around the world.
     
    Earn 2.05% APY
    Your uninvested cash is moved to banks in our program that pay you 2.05% APY*. Like all variable rates, this could go up or down over time.
     
    FDIC Insurance
    Your cash in the program banks is eligible for up to $1.25 million of FDIC insurance, or up to $250,000 per bank, subject to FDIC rules.
     
    75,000+ ATMs
    Don't pay fees at any of the 75,000+ ATMs in our network.
    JOIN THE WAITLIST


    See the source image



    For the next two weeks, you can earn increasing levels of Stock-Back™ rewards when you shift your everyday spending to your Stash debit card.* 

    Every qualifying swipe over $5 gets you closer to leveling up your Stock-Back rewards. Levels start tomorrow and reset to zero on Monday, November 18.

    Follow Us

     

    Flag Counter


    Flag Counter

    Make a free website with Yola